Weather Forecasting

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Term Paper Title	Weather Forecasting
# of Words	922
# of Pages (250 words per page double spaced)	3.69

Weather Forecasting

Weather Forecasting

     In researching this project I was amazed to find the many books on this
topic. After going through much information and reading an enormous amount of
writing on weather forecasting I can only come to one conclusion that when all
is considered the best forecasters can only give an educated guess of what is in
store for weather. Through the many means at their disposal, such as satellites,
ships at the ocean, infrared, radio, and radar transmissions even with all of
these techniques no prediction is 100% accurate.

     One question that I asked myself was "when was the first weather
forecasting ever done?", I found out that in 1863 in Britain there was a united
forecasting system headed by Captain Robert Fitzroy. Captain Fitzroy would send
ships around Britain to warn people of storms and such.  However, he was often
wrong and criticized and therefor committed suicide. Since then there have been
many other services, but the largest one currently is the National Weather
Service. The National Weather Service gives predictions for all of the world
through satellite imagery for all countries. Also in recent history many local
television and radio stations have made private forecasts for small areas.

     Meteorologists are people who interpret the weather, the reason I don't
say predict the weather is because even though all forecasters have the same
information and data at their fingertips, the way that they interpret what is in
front of them can be different. Meteorologists receive information  from various
sources, but their interpretation   of the data determines the accuracy of their
prediction.

     Someone might ask, "If forecasters have so much information on a
particular  area; how  could they  predict a flawed  forecast ?" The answer to
that question lies in the fact that any one of a number of weather conditions
may ruin a forecast.  A  fast cold or hot front moving in,  an unexpected flow
from the ocean or a cold wind may change the whole days forecast.

     There are many different materials and devices used by local  and
government services to predict the weather. Some of these devices are, Radar
which is actually sound waves, which bounce off clouds and give location of
storms this way.

     Another such device is actually a variation of radar called "Doppler
Radar" actually can give the exact location of a storm within a kilometer.
However, Doppler Radar is not used so much for everyday forecasting, but for
tornadoes ...

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